Showing posts with label IPCC. Show all posts
Showing posts with label IPCC. Show all posts

Wednesday, 1 August 2012

IPCC Lead Author Misleads US Congress.

One does wonder if there are any principles left in the AGW science community, where they would outright lie in their statements to congress. Surely that is a jailable offense and one that should be followed up in this case. Jail one and the rest will finally get the picture that by telling obvious lies about the climate will end you up in jail and not on the speech circuits earning millions of dollars as some have already done. Don't mention the hockey shtick though.

IPCC Lead Author Misleads US Congress

The politicization of climate science is so complete that the lead author of the IPCC's Working Group II on climate impacts feels comfortable presenting testimony to the US Congress that fundamentally misrepresents what the IPCC has concluded. I am referring to testimony given today by Christopher Field, a professor at Stanford, to the US Senate.

This is not a particularly nuanced or complex issue. What Field says the IPCC says is blantantly wrong, often 180 degrees wrong. It is one thing to disagree about scientific questions, but it is altogether different to fundamentally misrepresent an IPCC report to the US Congress. Below are five instances in which Field's testimony today completely and unambiguously misrepresented IPCC findings to the Senate. Field's testimony is here in PDF.

1. On the economic costs of disasters:
Field: "As the US copes with the aftermath of last year’s record-breaking series of 14 billion-dollar climate-related disasters and this year’s massive wildfires and storms, it is critical to understand that the link between climate change and the kinds of extremes that lead to disasters is clear."

What the IPCC actually said: "There is medium evidence and high agreement that long-term trends in normalized losses have not been attributed to natural or anthropogenic climate change"
Field's assertion that the link between climate change and disasters "is clear," which he supported with reference to US "billion dollar" economic losses, is in reality scientifically unsupported by the IPCC. Period. (More on the NOAA billion-dollar disasters below.) There is good reason for this -- it is what the science says. Why fail to report to Congress the IPCC's most fundamental finding and indicate something quite the opposite?

2. On US droughts:
Field: "The report identified some areas where droughts have become longer and more intense (including southern Europe and West Africa), but others where droughts have become less frequent, less intense, or shorter."

What the IPCC actually said: "... in some regions droughts have become less frequent, less intense, or shorter, for example, central North America ..."
Field conveniently neglected in his testimony to mention that one place where droughts have gotten less frequent, less intense or shorter is ... the United States. Why did he fail to mention this region, surely of interest to US Senators, but did include Europe and West Africa?

3. On NOAA's billion dollar disasters:
Field: "The US experienced 14 billion-dollar disasters in 2011, a record that far surpasses the previous maximum of 9."

What NOAA actually says about its series of "billion dollar" disasters:  "Caution should be used in interpreting any trends based on this [data] for a variety of reasons"
Field says nothing about the serious issues with NOAA's tabulation. The billion dollar disaster meme is a PR train wreck, not peer reviwed and is counter to the actual science summarized in the IPCC. So why mention it?

4. On attributing billion dollar disasters to climate change, case of hurricanes and tornadoes:
Field:  "For several of these categories of disasters, the strength of any linkage to climate change, if there is one, is not known. Specifically, the IPCC (IPCC 2012) did not identify a trend or express confidence in projections concerning tornadoes and other small-area events. The evidence on hurricanes is mixed."

What the IPCC actually said (p. 269 PDF): "The statement about the absence of trends in impacts attributable to natural or anthropogenic climate change holds for tropical and extratropical storms and tornados"
Hurricanes are, of course, tropical cyclones. Far from evidence being "mixed" the IPCC was unable to attribute any trend in tropical cyclone disasters to climate change (anywhere in the world and globally overall). In fact, there has been no trend in US hurricane frequency or intensity over a century or more, and the US is currently experiencing the longest period with no intense hurricane landfalls ever seen. Field fails to report any this and invents something different. Why present testimony so easily refuted? (He did get tornadoes right!)

 5. On attributing billion dollar disasters to climate change, case of floods and droughts:
Field: "For other categories of climate and weather extremes, the pattern is increasingly clear. Climate change is shifting the risk of hitting an extreme. The IPCC (IPCC 2012) concludes that climate change increases the risk of heat waves (90% or greater probability), heavy precipitation (66% or greater probability), and droughts (medium confidence) for most land areas."

What the IPCC actually says (p. 269 PDF): "The absence of an attributable climate change signal in losses also holds for flood losses"

and (from above): "in some regions droughts have become less frequent, less intense, or shorter, for example, central North America"
Field fails to explain that no linkage between flood disasters and climate change has been established. Increasing precipitation is not the same thing as increasing streamflow, floods or disasters. In fact, floods may be decreasing worldwide and are not increasing the US. The fact that drought has declined in the US means that there is no trend of rising impacts that can be attributed to climate change. Yet he implies exactly the opposite. Again, why include such obvious misrepresentations when they are so easily refuted?

Field is certainly entitled to his (wrong) opinion on the science of climate change and disasters However, it utterly irresponsible to fundamentally misrepresent the conclusions of the IPCC before the US Congress. He might have explained why he thought the IPCC was wrong in its conclusions, but it is foolish to pretend that the body said something other than what it actually reported. Just like the inconvenient fact that people are influencing the climate and carbon dioxide is a main culprit, the science says what the science says.

Field can present such nonsense before Congress because the politics of climate change are so poisonous that he will be applauded for his misrepresentations by many, including some scientists. Undoubtedly, I will be attacked for pointing out his obvious misrepresentations. Neither response changes the basic facts here. Such is the sorry state of climate science today.

Monday, 30 July 2012

UN Summit: Time for Climate Reality Check.

I thought I was the only one producing frog spawn.

Meanwhile back at the ranch, we have others being re-tuned with the truth about the AGW lies, the misinformation and general malaise that scientists who have claimed to be experts in the field like Mann, Jones et al, as well as the father of all global warming disinformation Al Gore (the Goricle has made millions out of it) are being finally demonstrated as being such. Liars, cheats and thieves and our cost of living is going to climb dramatically just so politicians, greenies, fanatics and NGOs can make some claim that they have saved the planet.

But from what you may well ask?

Even if the planet theoretically warms as much as their illiterate dubious and questionable models  wrongfully demonstrate and predict, using biased and adjusted information. What would actually happen, besides the fact that it has all happened before. It has been 10 degrees warmer than now and where is the harm from that ?

The Vikings froze to death and they had to abandon their settlement to survive the freezing cold that replaced it. So what is the problem with a little more heat again ?

Let me know when you find it. Greenland was covered in grass paddocks filled with animals and crops. Now they are complaining that in the middle of summer, the ice is melting which is something that has happened every 150 years. Nothing new there but the hysterics and misinformation still rears it's ugly head and below one continues one's education.

Climate Depot Special Report: A-Z Climate Reality Check -- Sub-Prime Science Exposé: 'The claims of the promoters of man-made climate fears are failing' -- Presented to UN Summit   

'The scientific reality is that on virtually every claim -- from A-Z -- the claims of the promoters of man-made climate fears are failing. The A-Z report includes key facts, peer-reviewed studies and the latest data and developments with links for further reading, on an exhaustive range of man-made global warming claims'

Wednesday, December 07, 2011By Marc Morano  –  Climate Depot
Below is the Introduction to the report. Full report is available here.
 The Antarctic sea ice extent has been at or near record extent in the past few summers and the ice is expanding, the Arctic has rebounded in recent years since the low point in 2007, polar bears are thriving, sea level is not showing acceleration and is actually dropping, Cholera and Malaria are failing to follow global warming predictions, Mount Kilimanjaro melt fears are being made a mockery by gains in snow cover, global temperatures have been holding steady for a decade or more and many scientists are predicting global cooling is ahead, deaths due to extreme weather are radically declining, global tropical cyclone activity is near historic lows, the frequency of major U.S. hurricanes has declined, the oceans are missing their predicted heat content, big tornados have dramatically declined since the 1970s, droughts are not historically unusual nor caused by mankind, there is no evidence we are currently having unusual weather, scandals continue to rock the climate fear movement, the UN IPCC has been exposed as being a hotbed of environmental activists, former Vice President Al Gore is now under siege by his fellow global warming activists for attempting to link every bad weather event to man-made global warming and scientists from around the world continue to dissent from man-made climate fears at a rapid pace.

Saturday, 28 July 2012

IPCC: Living the IPCC Lies..



















Donna Laframboise touring Australia and filling the local population in on the fraud that the IPCC is. Not only has it lied, cheated and spread the AGW scaremongering as being true and real. They have also employed Global Warming fanatics and hypocrites from the WWF as well as Greenpeace. It has been demonstrated that 30% or more of the chapters in the 2007 IPCC release on climate change was written by people employed and associated by NGOs like Greenpeace and the World Wildlife Fund.

The lies and misinformation those people have propagated and promoted must be investigated and the culprits bought to justice. Those self-serving criminals do not deserve the legal equivalence of innocent until proven guilty as Donna's book has already clearly demonstrated beyond doubt that they were party to the great Global Warming Hoax and should pay for their criminality.



The public are still paying for those lies while ignorant governments still introduce ludicrous laws and taxation that these people have frightened everyone into. They are criminals of the worst kind as they were well aware of what they were doing and deliberately continued and promoted their scam on the world's population.

Donna Laframboise Melbourne